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Red43
172315.0
495914.3
297218.2
Blue90
941026.1
580133.7
882523.2
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3876020601001204390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2972
#20
18.20.3
14.114.4
Auto9.9
Teleop7.1
End1.3
blue by 15.5
5801
#13
33.71.7
27.629.4
Auto12.4
Teleop19.9
End1.4
Second
1723
#26
15.00.3
13.313.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 11.1
26.11.7
18.019.7
Auto11.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Third
4959
#22
14.30.3
11.411.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 8.9
8825
#18
23.21.7
18.620.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed