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Red46
199715.8
509816.6
20017.7
Blue58
198217.3
81123.3
452234.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266202040801004658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5098
#11
16.61.1
11.012.1
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End1.0
blue by 18.0
34.60.4
30.631.0
Auto12.3
Teleop18.4
End3.9
Second
1997
#21
15.81.1
11.312.3
Auto8.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
blue by 1.5
1982
#10
17.30.4
16.016.4
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Third
2001
#39
7.71.8
5.77.5
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End0.8
red by 4.4
8112
#40
3.30.7
5.46.0
Auto1.5
Teleop1.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed