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Red49
580932.6
181015.4
184714.1
Blue75
421315.0
235734.9
512620.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53730204060801001201404975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.1
24.724.6
Auto8.0
Teleop22.6
End1.9
blue by 2.3
34.90.6
33.634.2
Auto10.8
Teleop19.7
End4.4
Second
1810
#23
15.40.1
13.613.5
Auto9.7
Teleop4.9
End0.9
blue by 5.5
5126
#30
20.90.6
15.916.5
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End0.1
Third
1847
#33
14.10.1
11.711.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End2.5
blue by 0.9
4213
#15
15.00.6
14.014.6
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed