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Red45
680513.9
59186.6
193917.5
Blue48
176310.0
476633.5
180211.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315502040801004548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#16
17.51.0
11.312.2
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End1.6
blue by 15.9
33.50.1
29.329.4
Auto14.4
Teleop17.2
End1.8
Second
6805
#37
13.91.0
11.912.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End1.1
red by 2.3
1802
#41
11.60.1
9.19.1
Auto6.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Third
5918
#42
6.61.6
7.49.0
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End-0.2
blue by 3.4
1763
#29
10.00.1
8.98.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed