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Red70
545420.1
198738.9
93169.1
Blue20
753117.0
176914.6
44557.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7438020601001201407020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.90.1
37.037.2
Auto16.2
Teleop18.6
End4.0
red by 21.9
7531
#24
17.01.3
16.915.6
Auto8.9
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Second
5454
#19
20.10.1
16.917.1
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End0.2
red by 5.5
1769
#17
14.61.3
11.410.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Third
9316
#36
9.10.2
9.09.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End0.2
red by 1.5
4455
#34
7.61.3
10.59.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed