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Red75
245720.4
495914.3
941026.1
Blue43
180616.5
68438.2
110829.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51612040801001207543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.11.6
19.721.3
Auto11.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
blue by 3.0
29.10.7
28.627.9
Auto10.2
Teleop16.0
End2.8
Second
2457
#12
20.41.6
16.117.7
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End2.3
red by 4.0
1806
#28
16.50.7
15.514.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Third
4959
#22
14.31.6
11.713.3
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 6.2
6843
#31
8.21.2
9.68.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed