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Red53
199715.8
96268.9
176425.0
Blue69
297218.2
173034.5
882523.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487702040601001205369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.3
23.323.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End2.2
blue by 9.5
34.50.2
31.331.5
Auto11.7
Teleop19.3
End3.4
Second
1997
#21
15.80.3
12.312.6
Auto8.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
blue by 7.4
8825
#18
23.20.2
20.320.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End2.4
Third
9626
#38
8.90.5
11.211.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End0.8
blue by 9.3
2972
#20
18.20.2
14.414.6
Auto9.9
Teleop7.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsEarned