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Red45
81123.3
20017.7
580932.6
Blue54
182519.0
234515.8
509816.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41481020306070804554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.5
24.625.1
Auto8.0
Teleop22.6
End1.9
red by 13.6
1825
#14
19.01.1
16.517.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Second
2001
#39
7.70.8
7.58.2
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End0.8
blue by 8.9
5098
#11
16.60.6
12.112.7
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Third
8112
#40
3.30.8
6.06.8
Auto1.5
Teleop1.6
End0.2
blue by 12.5
2345
#27
15.80.6
13.914.6
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed