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Red74
177512.2
184714.1
452234.6
Blue53
512620.9
706414.1
198217.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615101001507453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.61.1
31.032.1
Auto12.3
Teleop18.4
End3.9
red by 13.7
5126
#30
20.90.4
16.516.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End0.1
Second
1847
#33
14.11.1
11.612.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End2.5
blue by 3.2
1982
#10
17.30.4
16.416.8
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Third
1775
#35
12.21.1
11.612.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End0.8
blue by 1.9
7064
#32
14.10.6
14.315.0
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed