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Red64
110829.1
181015.4
9378.0
Blue30
20017.7
234515.8
68438.2
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603102040801006430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.10.2
27.928.1
Auto10.2
Teleop16.0
End2.8
red by 13.3
2345
#27
15.80.1
14.614.5
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End0.0
Second
1810
#23
15.40.3
14.915.2
Auto9.7
Teleop4.9
End0.9
red by 7.2
6843
#31
8.20.1
8.58.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.3
Third
937
#25
8.00.2
8.38.5
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End1.5
red by 0.3
2001
#39
7.70.1
8.28.1
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed