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Red33
81123.3
177512.2
180616.5
Blue50
44557.6
421315.0
706414.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3744102030506070803350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#28
16.50.2
14.714.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.9
End0.9
red by 1.4
4213
#15
15.00.7
14.715.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Second
1775
#35
12.20.2
12.612.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End0.8
blue by 1.9
7064
#32
14.11.2
15.016.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End0.7
Third
8112
#40
3.30.3
6.86.5
Auto1.5
Teleop1.6
End0.2
blue by 4.4
4455
#34
7.60.7
9.210.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed