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Red74
176425.0
509816.6
198217.3
Blue58
512620.9
172315.0
182519.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60532040801001207458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.7
23.624.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End2.2
red by 4.0
5126
#30
20.90.6
16.917.5
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End0.1
Second
1982
#10
17.30.7
16.817.5
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End1.9
blue by 1.7
1825
#14
19.00.9
17.518.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Third
5098
#11
16.60.7
12.713.5
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End1.0
red by 1.6
1723
#26
15.00.6
14.415.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed