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Red39
234515.8
421315.0
177512.2
Blue37
68438.2
882523.2
680513.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47473540455055603937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2345
#27
15.80.2
14.514.3
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End0.0
blue by 7.5
8825
#18
23.20.4
20.720.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End2.4
Second
4213
#15
15.00.2
15.415.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 1.1
6805
#37
13.90.4
13.513.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End1.1
Third
1775
#35
12.20.2
12.412.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End0.8
red by 4.1
6843
#31
8.20.5
8.37.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed