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Red100
476633.5
941026.1
110829.1
Blue57
198738.9
9378.0
199715.8
88%Model gave it12%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions936320408010012014016010057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.51.3
29.630.8
Auto14.4
Teleop17.2
End1.8
blue by 5.4
38.91.2
39.138.0
Auto16.2
Teleop18.6
End4.0
Second
29.11.3
28.129.3
Auto10.2
Teleop16.0
End2.8
red by 13.3
1997
#21
15.81.2
12.811.7
Auto8.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
Third
26.11.3
23.224.5
Auto11.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
red by 18.1
937
#25
8.01.2
8.57.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed