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Red73
44557.6
452234.6
173034.5
Blue50
245720.4
68438.2
193917.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92360501502007350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.9
33.132.2
Auto12.3
Teleop18.4
End3.9
red by 14.1
2457
#12
20.40.3
17.017.2
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Second
34.50.9
34.333.4
Auto11.7
Teleop19.3
End3.4
red by 17.0
1939
#16
17.50.3
14.414.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Third
4455
#34
7.60.9
8.98.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.5
blue by 0.5
6843
#31
8.20.3
7.88.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed