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Red37
81123.3
59186.6
421315.0
Blue68
512620.9
495914.3
180211.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284402060801003768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#15
15.00.1
15.215.1
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0
blue by 5.9
5126
#30
20.91.3
17.919.3
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End0.1
Second
5918
#42
6.60.2
7.57.3
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End-0.2
blue by 7.7
4959
#22
14.31.3
11.312.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Third
8112
#40
3.30.2
4.44.2
Auto1.5
Teleop1.6
End0.2
blue by 8.4
1802
#41
11.61.8
8.510.3
Auto6.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed