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Red39
452234.6
706414.1
68438.2
Blue84
235734.9
180616.5
199715.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53553040506070803984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.8
33.332.5
Auto12.3
Teleop18.4
End3.9
blue by 0.3
34.92.1
28.730.8
Auto10.8
Teleop19.7
End4.4
Second
7064
#32
14.11.3
9.38.0
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End0.7
blue by 2.4
1806
#28
16.52.8
9.712.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Third
6843
#31
8.21.3
8.37.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.3
blue by 7.6
1997
#21
15.82.1
8.911.0
Auto8.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned