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Red68
198217.3
173034.5
941026.1
Blue74
580932.6
512620.9
234515.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7153204060801001201406874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.4
29.630.0
Auto11.7
Teleop19.3
End3.4
red by 1.9
32.61.6
20.822.4
Auto8.0
Teleop22.6
End1.9
Second
26.10.5
16.617.1
Auto11.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
red by 5.2
5126
#30
20.91.6
16.618.2
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End0.1
Third
1982
#10
17.30.4
15.716.1
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End1.9
red by 1.5
2345
#27
15.81.6
12.814.4
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed