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Red76
509816.6
245720.4
297218.2
Blue21
44557.6
177512.2
9378.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582902040801001207621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2457
#12
20.41.7
17.218.9
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End2.3
red by 8.2
1775
#35
12.20.6
13.412.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End0.8
Second
2972
#20
18.21.7
16.818.4
Auto9.9
Teleop7.1
End1.3
red by 10.2
937
#25
8.00.6
8.68.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Third
5098
#11
16.61.7
15.116.8
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End1.0
red by 8.9
4455
#34
7.60.6
8.07.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed