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Red65
235734.9
182519.0
81123.3
Blue32
59186.6
96268.9
172315.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71300204060801001201406532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.4
36.235.7
Auto10.8
Teleop19.7
End4.4
red by 19.9
1723
#26
15.00.3
15.615.3
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
1825
#14
19.00.5
18.818.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 10.0
9626
#38
8.90.4
9.28.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End0.8
Third
8112
#40
3.30.5
4.23.7
Auto1.5
Teleop1.6
End0.2
blue by 3.3
5918
#42
6.60.4
7.36.9
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed