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Red57
20017.7
753117.0
512620.9
Blue101
882523.2
198738.9
580932.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3910705015020057101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#30
20.90.2
19.319.5
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End0.1
blue by 18.0
38.90.8
37.638.4
Auto16.2
Teleop18.6
End4.0
Second
7531
#24
17.00.2
17.017.2
Auto8.9
Teleop6.3
End1.8
blue by 15.6
32.60.8
29.430.2
Auto8.0
Teleop22.6
End1.9
Third
2001
#39
7.70.3
7.37.5
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End0.8
blue by 15.5
8825
#18
23.20.8
21.622.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsEarned