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Red90
176425.0
452234.6
476633.5
Blue61
941026.1
181015.4
680513.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1055401502009061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.1
32.232.3
Auto12.3
Teleop18.4
End3.9
red by 8.5
26.10.1
25.825.7
Auto11.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Second
33.50.1
32.132.1
Auto14.4
Teleop17.2
End1.8
red by 18.1
1810
#23
15.40.1
15.415.3
Auto9.7
Teleop4.9
End0.9
Third
25.00.1
24.724.8
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End2.2
red by 11.0
6805
#37
13.90.1
13.813.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
62%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed