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Red41
59186.6
545420.1
753117.0
Blue84
421315.0
941026.1
509816.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4766204060801001204184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#19
20.10.2
20.520.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End0.2
blue by 6.0
26.10.1
25.725.8
Auto11.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Second
7531
#24
17.00.2
17.217.0
Auto8.9
Teleop6.3
End1.8
red by 0.4
5098
#11
16.60.1
16.816.9
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Third
5918
#42
6.60.3
6.96.6
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End-0.2
blue by 8.4
4213
#15
15.00.1
14.614.8
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned