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Red83
452234.6
199715.8
173034.5
Blue60
176914.6
509816.6
172315.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions984501508360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.0
33.833.9
Auto12.3
Teleop18.4
End3.9
red by 18.0
5098
#11
16.60.1
16.916.8
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Second
34.50.0
33.733.7
Auto11.7
Teleop19.3
End3.4
red by 19.5
1723
#26
15.00.1
15.315.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Third
1997
#21
15.80.0
15.115.1
Auto8.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
red by 1.2
1769
#17
14.60.1
14.914.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End1.2