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Red23
68236.0
245710.6
178519.9
Blue36
250215.9
50989.8
198214.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50340204060802336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1785
#18
19.92.2
17.815.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End2.3
red by 4.1
2502
#23
15.90.2
15.915.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End0.9
Second
2457
#15
10.62.2
14.312.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End0.3
blue by 3.9
1982
#19
14.50.2
10.310.1
Auto7.6
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Third
6823
#30
6.02.2
11.28.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.9
blue by 3.8
5098
#20
9.80.2
6.36.1
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed