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Red64
464620.6
459316.0
544210.9
Blue35
501326.4
774711.2
53127.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53340204060801006435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#12
20.60.7
18.919.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End0.9
blue by 5.9
26.40.2
17.918.1
Auto11.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
4593
#17
16.00.7
13.013.7
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.4
red by 4.7
7747
#25
11.20.2
8.38.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End3.1
Third
5442
#31
10.90.7
13.814.5
Auto2.1
Teleop7.9
End0.9
red by 3.3
5312
#36
7.60.2
6.66.9
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed