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Red35
51419.7
17239.1
393118.0
Blue33
942818.7
76626.1
903113.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393301020506070803533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#33
18.01.1
11.910.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End0.5
blue by 0.6
9428
#26
18.70.3
10.811.1
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End1.1
Second
5141
#28
9.71.1
9.07.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.6
End1.3
blue by 3.3
9031
#22
13.00.3
13.213.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End1.7
Third
1723
#27
9.11.1
13.712.6
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End1.8
red by 3.0
7662
#35
6.10.3
6.66.8
Auto2.1
Teleop4.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed