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Red38
250215.9
544210.9
392821.2
Blue54
372924.7
476620.3
44557.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525830407080903854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#11
21.21.0
17.216.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
blue by 3.4
3729
#13
24.70.2
17.317.5
Auto11.4
Teleop12.0
End1.2
Second
2502
#23
15.91.0
15.814.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End0.9
blue by 4.5
20.30.2
23.623.8
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End2.5
Third
5442
#31
10.91.0
14.513.4
Auto2.1
Teleop7.9
End0.9
red by 3.4
4455
#32
7.50.2
11.211.4
Auto5.0
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed