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Red64
393118.0
580119.6
580919.3
Blue30
51419.7
198214.5
464620.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5639020801006430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.61.7
20.622.3
Auto10.5
Teleop7.8
End1.3
blue by 0.9
4646
#12
20.60.8
19.618.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Second
5809
#14
19.31.7
17.118.8
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End1.4
red by 4.8
1982
#19
14.50.8
10.19.3
Auto7.6
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Third
3931
#33
18.01.7
10.812.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End0.5
red by 8.3
5141
#28
9.70.8
7.97.0
Auto4.8
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed