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Red52
372924.7
544210.9
642013.3
Blue24
50989.8
245710.6
19978.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52280204060805224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3729
#13
24.70.9
17.518.4
Auto11.4
Teleop12.0
End1.2
red by 14.0
2457
#15
10.60.5
13.312.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End0.3
Second
6420
#21
13.30.9
13.214.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End0.9
red by 3.5
5098
#20
9.80.5
4.23.8
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Third
5442
#31
10.90.9
13.414.3
Auto2.1
Teleop7.9
End0.9
red by 2.1
1997
#34
8.90.5
10.710.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed