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Red45
178519.9
455015.5
51419.7
Blue69
580919.3
501326.4
271819.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426420801004569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1785
#18
19.90.4
16.016.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End2.3
blue by 6.5
26.41.6
22.023.5
Auto11.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
4550
#16
15.50.4
17.918.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.6
blue by 3.8
5809
#14
19.31.6
18.820.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End1.4
Third
5141
#28
9.70.4
7.07.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.6
End1.3
blue by 9.6
19.31.6
14.115.7
Auto8.4
Teleop9.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed