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Red70
903113.0
452233.5
198214.5
Blue43
596814.8
464620.6
476620.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5858405070807043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.51.4
30.031.4
Auto9.6
Teleop21.5
End2.4
red by 12.9
4646
#12
20.61.0
18.717.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Second
1982
#19
14.51.4
9.310.7
Auto7.6
Teleop5.4
End1.6
blue by 5.8
20.31.0
23.822.8
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End2.5
Third
9031
#22
13.01.4
13.514.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End1.7
blue by 1.8
5968
#29
14.81.0
9.68.6
Auto10.1
Teleop2.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed