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Red54
459316.0
50989.8
372924.7
Blue24
903113.0
393118.0
68236.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404120253035455055605424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3729
#13
24.71.6
18.420.0
Auto11.4
Teleop12.0
End1.2
red by 6.6
3931
#33
18.01.4
13.512.1
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End0.5
Second
4593
#17
16.01.5
15.416.9
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.4
red by 3.0
9031
#22
13.01.5
14.813.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End1.7
Third
5098
#20
9.81.5
3.85.3
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End1.0
red by 3.8
6823
#30
6.01.4
7.45.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed