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Red63
639121.3
452233.5
76626.1
Blue83
19978.9
501326.4
580119.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6060657075806383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.9
31.432.2
Auto9.6
Teleop21.5
End2.4
red by 7.0
26.40.1
23.523.7
Auto11.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
6391
#10
21.30.9
15.316.3
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End1.4
red by 1.6
19.60.1
20.921.0
Auto10.5
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Third
7662
#35
6.10.9
7.88.8
Auto2.1
Teleop4.0
End-0.1
blue by 2.8
1997
#34
8.90.1
10.210.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned