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Red63
16710.0
271819.3
170639.3
Blue65
198728.9
51419.7
596814.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7346204060801001206365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.30.0
35.035.0
Auto15.6
Teleop20.0
End3.6
red by 10.3
28.91.2
27.328.5
Auto9.4
Teleop17.1
End2.4
Second
19.30.0
16.616.5
Auto8.4
Teleop9.6
End1.3
red by 4.5
5968
#29
14.81.3
9.410.8
Auto10.1
Teleop2.9
End1.8
Third
167
#24
10.00.0
11.611.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End-0.0
red by 0.3
5141
#28
9.71.2
8.39.6
Auto4.8
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned