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Red43
544210.9
903113.0
455015.5
Blue54
50989.8
178519.9
392821.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494301001504354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#16
15.50.6
17.016.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.6
blue by 5.7
3928
#11
21.21.4
16.718.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
Second
9031
#22
13.00.6
13.312.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End1.7
blue by 7.0
1785
#18
19.91.4
17.919.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End2.3
Third
5442
#31
10.90.6
13.512.9
Auto2.1
Teleop7.9
End0.9
red by 1.2
5098
#20
9.81.4
5.36.6
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed