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Red62
271819.3
250215.9
120824.8
Blue41
501326.4
16710.0
642013.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535840507080906241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.81.1
16.517.6
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End0.2
blue by 1.6
26.40.9
26.225.2
Auto11.3
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
19.31.1
16.517.7
Auto8.4
Teleop9.6
End1.3
red by 6.1
6420
#21
13.30.9
13.812.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End0.9
Third
2502
#23
15.91.0
15.316.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 5.9
167
#24
10.01.0
11.610.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed