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Red40
476620.3
912622.1
68236.0
Blue27
17239.1
178519.9
76626.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6139020801004027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.11.2
23.021.8
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.6
red by 2.2
1785
#18
19.90.9
19.318.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End2.3
Second
20.31.1
23.422.3
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End2.5
red by 11.2
1723
#27
9.10.9
11.210.2
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Third
6823
#30
6.01.1
6.15.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.9
blue by 0.1
7662
#35
6.11.1
7.26.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed