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Red86
452233.5
53127.6
580919.3
Blue17
544210.9
580119.6
245710.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61492040801008617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.52.0
31.433.4
Auto9.6
Teleop21.5
End2.4
red by 13.9
19.62.7
21.618.9
Auto10.5
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Second
5809
#14
19.32.1
19.021.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End1.4
red by 8.4
5442
#31
10.92.7
12.910.2
Auto2.1
Teleop7.9
End0.9
Third
5312
#36
7.62.0
3.55.5
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End0.7
blue by 3.0
2457
#15
10.62.7
11.18.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed