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Red36
53127.6
596814.8
544210.9
Blue87
639121.3
198214.5
178519.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285702040801003687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5968
#29
14.80.6
13.213.9
Auto10.1
Teleop2.9
End1.8
blue by 6.4
6391
#10
21.32.1
17.319.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End1.4
Second
5442
#31
10.90.6
10.210.8
Auto2.1
Teleop7.9
End0.9
blue by 9.0
1785
#18
19.91.9
18.320.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End2.3
Third
5312
#36
7.60.6
5.56.1
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End0.7
blue by 6.9
1982
#19
14.51.9
12.514.5
Auto7.6
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned