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Red83
245710.6
912622.1
372924.7
Blue57
580119.6
452233.5
17239.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5471204060801001208357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3729
#13
24.71.5
20.722.2
Auto11.4
Teleop12.0
End1.2
blue by 8.8
33.50.6
33.432.7
Auto9.6
Teleop21.5
End2.4
Second
22.11.5
21.823.3
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.6
red by 2.5
19.60.6
18.918.3
Auto10.5
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Third
2457
#15
10.61.4
8.49.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End0.3
red by 1.5
1723
#27
9.10.6
10.29.6
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed