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Red27
17239.1
50989.8
903113.0
Blue80
392821.2
580119.6
53127.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35510102030406070802780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9031
#22
13.00.5
13.513.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End1.7
blue by 8.3
3928
#11
21.21.6
19.721.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
Second
5098
#20
9.80.5
10.29.8
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 9.9
19.61.6
18.319.9
Auto10.5
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Third
1723
#27
9.10.5
9.69.1
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End1.8
red by 1.5
5312
#36
7.61.6
6.17.6
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed