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Red59
544210.9
198214.5
198728.9
Blue92
942818.7
372924.7
120824.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56672040801005992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.2
26.626.7
Auto9.4
Teleop17.1
End2.4
red by 4.1
24.82.2
20.923.1
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End0.2
Second
1982
#19
14.50.2
14.514.6
Auto7.6
Teleop5.4
End1.6
blue by 10.1
3729
#13
24.72.2
22.224.5
Auto11.4
Teleop12.0
End1.2
Third
5442
#31
10.90.2
10.810.9
Auto2.1
Teleop7.9
End0.9
blue by 7.7
9428
#26
18.72.0
16.418.5
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed