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Red68
245710.6
596814.8
452233.5
Blue45
912622.1
250215.9
19978.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64532040801001206845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.9
32.733.6
Auto9.6
Teleop21.5
End2.4
red by 11.4
22.10.9
23.322.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Second
5968
#29
14.80.9
13.914.8
Auto10.1
Teleop2.9
End1.8
blue by 1.1
2502
#23
15.90.8
16.715.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End0.9
Third
2457
#15
10.60.9
9.810.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End0.3
red by 1.8
1997
#34
8.90.8
9.28.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed