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Red65
170639.3
68236.0
455015.5
Blue61
53127.6
51419.7
372924.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions592902040801006561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.30.6
21.822.4
Auto15.6
Teleop20.0
End3.6
red by 14.6
3729
#13
24.71.7
12.814.5
Auto11.4
Teleop12.0
End1.2
Second
4550
#16
15.50.6
13.013.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.6
red by 5.8
5141
#28
9.71.7
10.111.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Third
6823
#30
6.00.6
14.815.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.9
blue by 1.6
5312
#36
7.61.7
6.78.4
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed