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Red73
452233.5
392821.2
16710.0
Blue59
580919.3
459316.0
912622.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543702060807359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.52.9
20.823.7
Auto9.6
Teleop21.5
End2.4
red by 11.4
22.11.8
13.114.9
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Second
3928
#11
21.22.9
12.115.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
red by 1.9
5809
#14
19.31.8
11.713.5
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End1.4
Third
167
#24
10.02.9
14.016.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End-0.0
blue by 5.9
4593
#17
16.01.8
10.612.5
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed