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Red19
393118.0
44557.5
50989.8
Blue50
198214.5
271819.3
17239.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39372025304550551950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#33
18.02.0
11.19.2
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End0.5
blue by 1.3
19.30.7
10.511.2
Auto8.4
Teleop9.6
End1.3
Second
5098
#20
9.82.0
10.68.6
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 4.8
1982
#19
14.50.7
9.29.9
Auto7.6
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Third
4455
#32
7.52.0
13.011.0
Auto5.0
Teleop1.9
End0.6
blue by 1.6
1723
#27
9.10.7
13.714.4
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed