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Red30
87194.0
339710.4
128814.4
Blue53
381418.8
942816.7
297813.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254804060801003053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1288
#22
14.40.6
9.79.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.7
blue by 4.5
3814
#15
18.80.3
13.013.3
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.3
Second
3397
#27
10.40.6
8.68.1
Auto6.7
Teleop3.5
End0.2
blue by 6.3
9428
#32
16.70.2
18.718.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Third
8719
#36
4.00.3
6.76.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.4
blue by 9.1
2978
#35
13.10.3
8.99.2
Auto5.5
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed