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Red79
173235.6
11788.2
476624.7
Blue52
253115.8
452233.3
328418.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677502040601001201407952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.0
31.031.1
Auto11.0
Teleop21.0
End3.6
red by 2.3
33.31.3
33.532.1
Auto11.1
Teleop18.7
End3.5
Second
24.70.0
20.320.3
Auto11.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
red by 5.9
3284
#23
18.81.8
16.714.9
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End0.2
Third
1178
#44
8.20.0
10.610.6
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End1.2
blue by 7.6
2531
#33
15.81.8
17.115.3
Auto6.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed