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Red33
50455.1
328418.8
55835.9
Blue47
19395.5
297813.1
517610.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343810203050603347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#23
18.81.0
14.913.9
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End0.2
red by 5.7
2978
#35
13.11.6
9.210.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Second
5583
#45
5.91.3
9.68.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.4
End0.9
blue by 4.1
5176
#34
10.01.6
9.811.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.4
End-0.0
Third
5045
#41
5.11.3
8.27.0
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.3
blue by 0.4
1939
#43
5.51.6
13.415.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed